Applying an extended IS-LM model to South Africa,this paper finds that fiscal expansion reduces output and causes real appreciation and that monetary expansion increases output and leads to real depreciation. Besides, a lower real interest rate or a higher stock price helps raise output; and a higher real interest rate or a higher stock price results in real depreciation.Hence, except for the negative impact of fiscal expansion on output, the predictions of the Mundell Fleming model are applicable to South Africa.
Keywords: Fiscal expansion, monetary expansion, exchange rates, Mundell-Fleming model.
JEL Classification: E52, E62, F41.
Yu Hsing. Does the Mundell Fleming Model Apply to South Africa?. Journal of Money,Banking and Finance, Vol. 6, No. 2, 2020, pp. 89-98
The focus of this paper is to determine the extent international remittance inflows predict the growth of Nigeria’s domestic economy ranging from 1980 to 2019. To achieve such objective, the author adopted VEC Granger causality test for estimation of the parameters specified in the models. This is complimented with other standard econometric pretests and posttests such as unit root tests, co integration tests as well as vector error correction model to determine the properties of the time series data used for the analysis. The result of the analysis indicates that the series employed for the analysis exhibits longrun co integration. The Vector Error Correction Model (VECM)results also show a negative significant relationship between international remittance inflows and real gross domestic product in the short run as indicated by at statistics coefficient of 6.874905 and a pvalue of 0.0087. Consequently, from the long run result of the VECM, international remittance inflow maintained a negative relationship with economic growth in the long run. The Wald test indicates no causality among RGDP, IRIGWT, ODAGNI, BOT and INF. VECM in the second equation of the study shows a positive insignificant relationship between international remittance inflows and domestic credit to private sector in the short run within the period under consideration with a t statistics of 0.053623 and pvalue of 0.6807. However,from the long run result of the VECM in the second equation,international remittance inflows indicate a negative relationship with domestic credit to the private sector in the long run. The result of the error correction model in the short run as indicated by the lower chamber of VECM showed a positive significant correlation between overseas development assistance and gross domestic product as indicated by the t statistics of 8.643742 and pvalue of 0.0097. The result from the upper chamber of the VECM indicates a negative relationship between overseas development assistance and economic growth in the long run.The implication of the study is that international remittance inflows have not translated considerably to the growth of Nigerian economy. In view of the above findings, the study makes the following recommendations: the federal government should adopt strict policy measures to regulate international remittance inflows to Nigeria by ensuring proper investment of greater percentage of all remittances. This can be done by insisting that all remittance above certain level be accompanied with an investment plan or properly taxed. In order to encourage remittances passing through the official channel, the Central Bank of Nigeria should ensure that transaction cost of international remittance inflows are kept very minimal.
Keywords: Remittance inflows, VectorError correction model, Granger Causality, Waldtest, Correlation,
Titus Chinweuba Eze. Modeling the Relationship between Remittance Inflows and the Growth of Nigeria’s Domestic Economy: VEC Granger Causality Test Approach. Journal of Money, Banking and Finance, Vol. 6, No. 2, 2020, pp. 99-122
The Anchor Borrowers’ Programme (ABP) was initiated to create an ecosystem that connects small farm owners to big processors within the economy with a view to improving capacity utilization and promoting exports by exhibiting potential in the promotion of locally produced goods. Thus, with this feat, one can say that the local manufacturers are, without doubt, on the verge of meeting up with international standard towards enhancing patronage from both local and foreign consumers. It is on this note that this paper examined the potential of domestic industrial output on economic growth in Nigeria. An Auto regressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model procedure was employed and the results revealed that the contribution of the domestic industrial output to economic growth was appalling which was necessitated by the worrisome image of “Nigerian” goods. The study concluded that domestic production in Nigeria has been lagged behind in terms of output performance in the economy.
Keywords: Domestic output, Capital, Labour, Made-in-Nigeria, Gross Domestic Product (GDP)
Fasoye Kazeem and Olayiwola Abiodumn Sunday. Impact of Domestic Industrial Output on Economic Growth in Nigeria. Journal of Money, Banking and Finance, Vol. 6, No. 2, 2020, pp. 123-135
The present study provides evidence of the link between environmental conservation awards in form of carbon credits and the firm’s profitability. This investigation is base don firms, which use to disclose revenues generated from the carbon credits in their annual reports. By using sample firms’data from 2011 to 2015, the results of the study reveal that carbon revenue significantly affects sample firms’ profitability. More specifically, earning of the shareholders are affected most by the trading of carbon credits because it affects the profitability and therefore the amount left for the shareholders will be less if they do not include the carbon credits. Like in Gujarat Fluor chemicals Ltd the EPS for the year 2014-2015 would have been decreased by 112.94% due to the decrease in the sales by 42.35% if the company would have ignored the revenues from the carbon credits. The findings of this study are of considerable importance to strategic policy makers, firms and other stakeholders.
Keywords: Carbon Credit, India,Revenue, Climate Change ,Performance.
Praveen Kumar. The Nexus Environmental Conservation awards and Firms’Profitability: A Step towards Green Investment. Journal of Money, Banking and Finance, Vol. 6, No. 2, 2020, pp. 137-149
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